2020 NO2 and PM projections data (2018 reference year)
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Projections for concentrations of nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and oxides of nitrogen (NOx) across the UK in the years 2019 - 2030 inclusive, have been calculated as part of a Pollution Climate Mapping (PCM) model assessment.
Projections for particulate matter (PM2.5 and PM10) have also been calculated across the UK in the years 2020, 2025 and 2030.
The baseline projections represent the projected concentrations assuming no further action beyond the air quality measures that were committed by the reference year (2018). The 'Read Me' tab in the NO2 Baseline Projections file and the PM10 & PM2.5 Baseline Projections file contains more information.
The results for the base year and projected roadside NO2 concentrations for approximately 9,000 modelled road links may be downloaded in spreadsheet format via the following link:
- NO2 Baseline Projections (ZIP 3.6 MB)
These projections incorporate an updated classification of urban and rural roads in England, Scotland and Wales. This classification uses an updated evidence base to provide an improved assessment of the road network in urban and rural areas. Since the PCM model provides roadside concentrations for major urban roads, these projections are based on an updated 2018 assessment including changes to the set of road links modelled, as a result of applying the updated road classifications.
The results for the base year and projected roadside PM10 and PM2.5 concentrations for approximately 9,000 modelled road links may be downloaded in spreadsheet format via the following link:
- PM10 & PM2.5 Baseline Projections (ZIP 2.8MB)
The GIS shapefile of the results for the base year and projected roadside NO2 concentrations for the modelled road links is available via the following link:
- GIS shapefile for NO2 baseline projections (ZIP 9.5MB)
The annual mean NOx source apportionment for 2018 and the projected baseline situation are available via the following links:
- 2018 Baseline NOx Source Apportionment (ZIP 7.83MB)
- 2020 Baseline NOx Source Apportionment (ZIP 7.84MB)
- 2025 Baseline NOx Source Apportionment (ZIP 7.85MB)
- 2030 Baseline NOx Source Apportionment (ZIP 7.80MB)
The annual mean PM10 and PM2.5 source apportionments for 2018 and the projected baseline situation are available via the following links:
- 2018 Baseline PM10 Source Apportionment (ZIP 8.4MB)
- 2020 Baseline PM10 Source Apportionment (ZIP 8.36MB)
- 2025 Baseline PM10 Source Apportionment (ZIP 8.39MB)
- 2030 Baseline PM10 Source Apportionment (ZIP 8.39MB)
- 2018 Baseline PM2.5 Source Apportionment (ZIP 8.04MB)
- 2020 Baseline PM2.5 Source Apportionment (ZIP 8.04MB)
- 2025 Baseline PM2.5 Source Apportionment (ZIP 8.05MB)
- 2030 Baseline PM2.5 Source Apportionment (ZIP 8.04MB)