AEAT-3844
A report produced for Department of the Environment, Transport and the Regions
Contract number EPG 1/3/59

John R Stedman
Sarah E Espenhahn
Paul G Willis
June 1998
Contents

1 Introduction
2 New Bandings for Air Pollution
3 Current Air Pollution Forecasting Techniques
4 Analysis Of Air Pollution Forecasting Success Rate
  • 4.1 Introduction
  • 4.2 Forecast Analysis For Old Bandings, 1 January 1997 To 18 November 1997
    • 4.2.1 Forecast Analysis for Ozone
    • 4.2.2 Forecast Analysis for Nitrogen Dioxide
    • 4.2.3 Forecast Analysis for Sulphur Dioxide
  • 4.3 Forecast Analysis For New Bandings 19 November 1997 to 31 December
    • 4.3.1 Forecast Analysis For Nitrogen Dioxide
    • 4.3.2 Forecast Analysis For Sulphur Dioxide
    • 4.3.3 Forecast Analysis For Particles (PM10)
    • 4.3.4 Forecast Analysis For Carbon Monoxide
  • 4.4 Comparison With Previous Years
5 Forecasting PM10
  • 5.1 Introduction
  • 5.2 Primary Combustion PM10
  • 5.3 Secondary PM10
  • 5.4 Combining Secondary And Primary PM10
6 Development Of The Air Quality Forecasting Service
  • 6.1 East Anglia Region
  • 6.2 Point Source Emission Episodes
  • 6.3 Neural Network
  • 6.4 Name Model
  • 6.5 Ozone Data Exchange
7 Acknowledgement
8 References





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